A Word On The Knicks

i wrote last July about how I didn’t understand the Knicks adding Joakim Noah as a free agent because it created a team on paper that could make the playoffs and possibly win a first round series. My feeling was that the Knicks would be better served in the long term by tanking in 2016-17 and getting a lottery pick while trading away everything except Porzingas.

Phil Jackson deserves no credit for the Knicks ending up in the lottery. That clearly wasn’t the plan at the start of the year and the Noah deal is clearly going to be a disaster. But the Knicks are thankfully in the lottery and can do themselves a lot of good by not winning any of their remaining four games.

The Knicks are currently sixth-worst in the league, but only one win separates them from “dropping” to ninth. If they got lucky, they could possibly get to fourth.

Its not about the first pick, that chance, even with fourth-worst record is small (about 11%). It’s about ensuring they have a pick as high up in the draft as possible. This is a deep draft, but scouts generally say the drop off happens somewhere between picks 6 and 8.

Finish with the fourth-worst record and the worst pick you could have is 7th. Finish with the ninth-worst and you only have about a 7% chance of picking higher than ninth.

So the Knicks need to lose. We need to hope that Sacramento and Minnesota win, and maybe even Philadelphia and Orlando. Fultz and Ball aren’t walking through that door, but getting Monk or Tatum would be just fine with me.

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  • blmeanie  On April 7, 2017 at 6:43 am

    I think Ball would be a great fit in NY, along with dear old dad of course.

    He may slip a spot or two, cannot see the Celtics taking him no matter where they pick.

    • nysportsfanatic  On April 7, 2017 at 7:40 am

      I think you need to separate the Dad from the player. We’ve seen the Dad a million times before. They can’t handle the fact that their kid is a better athlete than they were, so they need to inflate the kids ability beyond reality.

      Lonzo seems like a pretty special talent. I think NBA teams would be nuts to let the Dad distract them from that.

  • blmeanie  On April 7, 2017 at 8:11 am

    special, how does that shot mechanics translate when you have, on average, better defenders than college , on you?

    Are you placing him as the #1 pick?

    • nysportsfanatic  On April 7, 2017 at 10:57 am

      He shot 55% from the field, average over 7 apg, 3x his turnovers, and over 6 rebounds per game. That’s pretty good and better in every category compared to Feltz.

  • blmeanie  On April 7, 2017 at 2:51 pm

    so you believe his game will transfer to the pros well?

  • blmeanie  On April 7, 2017 at 7:50 pm

    not sure

  • blmeanie  On April 8, 2017 at 9:16 am

    If Celtics get #1, pick Fultz, ultimately trade one or more of Smart, Bradley and even future picks to land one experienced big. Roll the dice on resigning Thomas when he is up after next year. Go for it in 2017-18

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